Lusitano Évora 1911 vs CF Os Belenenses Sunday 30th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Lusitano Évora 1911 CF Os Belenenses

Lusitano Évora 1911 L L D L W W

CF Os Belenenses W W D L L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Lusitano Évora 1911	CF Os Belenenses	0 - 1	December 7, 2025
CF Os Belenenses	Lusitano Évora 1911	1 - 0	August 23, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Atlético CP	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 29, 26	Away	Estrela	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 15, 26	Away	Benfica B	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Atlético CP	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Amora	1 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	SC Covilha	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Away	Louletano	1 - 3	Win
Aug 8, 26	Home	Caldas	1 - 0	Win
Jul 31, 26	Away	Estoril	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Away	Benfica	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Alverca	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Farense	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.58% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that CF Os Belenenses has a 41.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.54 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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