Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Mérida AD Mirandes
Mérida AD W W L L L W
Mirandes L W W D W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Mérida AD Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Deportivo La Coruña II 1 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Home Alcorcon 2 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Away Leganes 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Home Al-Nassr 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Benfica B 4 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Osasuna II 1 - 2 Win

Mirandes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Cacereño 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home UD Logroñés 4 - 0 Win
Aug 19, 26 Away La Calzada 0 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Real Madrid II 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Away Atlético Madrid II 1 - 2 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Osasuna II 0 - 1 Win

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Mérida AD 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Mérida AD to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Mérida AD has a 34.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.36 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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