Mação vs Gavionenses Sunday 30th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Mação Gavionenses

Mação L L L L L L

Gavionenses L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 19, 25	Away	Hong Kong	2 - 0	Loss
Sep 11, 23	Away	Cambodia	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 23	Home	Bhutan	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 19, 23	Home	Myanmar	0 - 2	Loss
Mar 26, 23	Home	Singapore	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 9, 18	Away	Condeixa	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 24	Home	Arronches e Benfica	0 - 3	Loss
Sep 10, 23	Away	Alverca	13 - 0	Loss
Sep 11, 22	Away	União Santarém	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 25, 16	Home	Mortágua	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 4, 16	Away	União de Leiria	10 - 0	Loss

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Mação has a 46.73% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.02 %

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