Emperor Cup
Match Analysis
Machida Zelvia
Tochigi City
Machida Zelvia
D
W
W
D
W
W
Tochigi City
D
W
L
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Machida Zelvia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Nagoya Grampus | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Kawasaki Frontale | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Mito Hollyhock | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 26 | Home | Grulla Morioka | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Urawa | 3 - 1 | Win |
Tochigi City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Kataller Toyama | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Consadole Sapporo | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Jubilo Iwata | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Vegalta Sendai | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Sagan Tosu | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Vanraure Hachinohe | 5 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.28% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Machida Zelvia to win
This prediction indicates that Machida Zelvia has a 64.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.14 %Most Likely Scorelines
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