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Carioca U20

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Madureira U20 Vasco da Gama U20
Madureira U20 D D W L W D
Vasco da Gama U20 L W W D D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Vasco da Gama U20 Madureira U20 2 - 1 September 13, 2025
Vasco da Gama U20 Madureira U20 2 - 1 June 15, 2024

Madureira U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Botafogo U20 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Volta Redonda U20 0 - 0 Draw
Oct 11, 25 Home Sampaio Correa FE U20 2 - 1 Win
Oct 4, 25 Home Flamengo U20 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 26, 25 Away Boavista U20 1 - 2 Win
Sep 20, 25 Home Botafogo U20 4 - 4 Draw

Vasco da Gama U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Nova Iguaçu U20 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Home Portuguesa RJ U20 1 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Maricá U20 1 - 3 Win
Nov 22, 25 Home Botafogo U20 0 - 0 Draw
Nov 15, 25 Away Botafogo U20 1 - 1 Draw
Nov 9, 25 Home Fluminense U20 2 - 0 Win

Carioca U20 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Vasco da Gama U20 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
6 Madureira U20 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Vasco da Gama U20 to win
This prediction indicates that Vasco da Gama U20 has a 52.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.83 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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