Malaga vs Almeria Sunday 14th June 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Malaga Almeria

Malaga D W W D W W

Almeria W D W L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Almeria	Malaga	3 - 2	April 19, 2026
Malaga	Almeria	2 - 1	December 21, 2025
Almeria	Malaga	1 - 2	July 26, 2025
Almeria	Malaga	2 - 2	March 1, 2025
Malaga	Almeria	1 - 1	December 8, 2024
Malaga	Almeria	0 - 1	July 27, 2024

Malaga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 10, 26	Home	Las Palmas	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 7, 26	Away	Las Palmas	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Zaragoza	0 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Racing Santander	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	AD Ceuta FC	1 - 4	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Sporting Gijon	2 - 1	Win

Almeria Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 9, 26	Home	Castellón	3 - 2	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Castellón	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Valladolid	1 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Sporting Gijon	3 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Las Palmas	1 - 2	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Burgos	0 - 0	Draw

Segunda División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Almeria	44	23	9	12	85	66	+19	78
3	Malaga	44	22	11	11	77	53	+24	77

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.1% likelihood that both Malaga and Almeria will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Malaga to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Malaga has a 40.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.89 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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