Liga Pro
Match Analysis
Manta FC
Orense SC
Manta FC
D
L
L
W
L
L
Orense SC
L
W
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Manta FC with a 36% probability. Despite the market odds suggesting a close contest, the model leans toward Manta FC partly because they have a rest advantage. However, Orense SC are considered the stronger team overall, and both teams are in poor recent form. Recent matches between the two have usually ended in draws with few goals, aligning with the model's view that an under 2.5 goals outcome is more likely.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | Orense SC | 0 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| Orense SC | Manta FC | 1 - 1 | March 10, 2026 |
| Manta FC | Orense SC | 0 - 0 | June 24, 2025 |
| Orense SC | Manta FC | 2 - 1 | February 23, 2025 |
| Manta FC | Orense SC | 0 - 0 | August 28, 2021 |
| Orense SC | Manta FC | 0 - 1 | April 4, 2021 |
Manta FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Aucas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 8, 26 | Away | Emelec | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Macara | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Barcelona SC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Universidad Catolica | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Leones del Norte | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Orense SC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Universidad Catolica | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Guayaquil City FC | 4 - 3 | Win |
| Sep 3, 26 | Away | Leones del Norte | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Macara | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Barcelona SC | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cuenca | 2 - 0 | Win |
Liga Pro Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 21 |
Predictions
Manta FC to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Manta FC has a 36.32% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.01 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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