Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
Maria da Fonte
Uniao Nogueirense
Maria da Fonte
L
L
L
W
W
L
Uniao Nogueirense
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Maria da Fonte Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Fafe | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 25 | Home | Brito | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Oct 20, 24 | Home | Arouca | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Sep 21, 24 | Away | Lajense | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 8, 24 | Home | Cardielense | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 16, 23 | Away | Pevidem | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Uniao Nogueirense Form (Last 1 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 25 | Home | Águias do Moradal | 1 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.79% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Maria da Fonte or Uniao Nogueirense to win
This prediction indicates that Uniao Nogueirense has a 38.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.79 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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