Carioca U20
Match Analysis
Maricá U20
Volta Redonda U20
Maricá U20
L
L
D
W
L
D
Volta Redonda U20
L
L
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The Maricá U20 and Volta Redonda U20 sides are considered closely matched in overall quality, but both teams are coming into this match in poor recent form and have shown defensive struggles. The model predicts a home win with a 51% probability, which suggests a slight edge for Maricá despite the similarities between the teams. There are no public market odds available for direct comparison, but the model's view indicates a narrow preference for the home side to win in what is expected to be a tightly contested match.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volta Redonda U20 | Maricá U20 | 2 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
Maricá U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Bangu U20 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Madureira U20 | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Boavista U20 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Nova Iguaçu U20 | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Volta Redonda U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Vasco da Gama U20 | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Flamengo U20 | 6 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Fluminense U20 | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | Botafogo U20 | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Bangu U20 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Carioca U20 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Maricá U20 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Volta Redonda U20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 2 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Maricá U20 to win
This prediction indicates that Maricá U20 has a 51.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.49 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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