Mariehamn vs AC Oulu Saturday 25th July 2026 04:30 PM football predictions.

Mariehamn AC Oulu

Mariehamn L L L L L L

AC Oulu D L W D W W

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
AC Oulu	Mariehamn	2 - 1	June 18, 2026
Mariehamn	AC Oulu	2 - 0	October 18, 2025
Mariehamn	AC Oulu	0 - 1	July 26, 2025
AC Oulu	Mariehamn	0 - 1	May 17, 2025
AC Oulu	Mariehamn	1 - 2	October 19, 2024
Mariehamn	AC Oulu	2 - 1	September 1, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	VPS	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Inter Turku	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Home	HJK helsinki	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Away	AC Oulu	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	Gnistan	0 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	HJK helsinki	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Lahti	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 23, 26	Away	VPS	5 - 1	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	Mariehamn	2 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Inter Turku	0 - 0	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	FF Jaro	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	SJK	0 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	AC Oulu	14	8	2	4	20	15	+5	26
12	Mariehamn	14	0	4	10	6	29	-23	4

This prediction indicates that AC Oulu has a 51.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.81 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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