Veikkausliiga
Match Analysis
Mariehamn
Gnistan
Mariehamn
L
L
D
D
L
L
Gnistan
W
L
W
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariehamn | Gnistan | 2 - 5 | August 9, 2025 |
| Gnistan | Mariehamn | 2 - 0 | May 3, 2025 |
| Gnistan | Mariehamn | 2 - 1 | September 15, 2024 |
| Gnistan | Mariehamn | 2 - 1 | August 21, 2024 |
| Mariehamn | Gnistan | 1 - 1 | May 26, 2024 |
| Mariehamn | Gnistan | 3 - 0 | October 29, 2023 |
Mariehamn Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Away | HJK helsinki | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | FF Jaro | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | KuPS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Lahti | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Home | VPS | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 25, 26 | Away | Inter Turku | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Gnistan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | SJK | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Ilves | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | FF Jaro | 5 - 0 | Win |
| May 9, 26 | Away | VPS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 5, 26 | Home | Inter Turku | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 24, 26 | Away | Turku PS | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Veikkausliiga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gnistan | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.28% likelihood that both Mariehamn and Gnistan will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Mariehamn or Gnistan to win
This prediction indicates that Mariehamn has a 38.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.83 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 72.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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