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J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga logo Matsumoto Yamaga
Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Sagamihara logo Sagamihara

Match Analysis

Matsumoto Yamaga Sagamihara
Matsumoto Yamaga D L D W L D
Sagamihara L W W D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Sagamihara Matsumoto Yamaga 1 - 0 October 19, 2025
Matsumoto Yamaga Sagamihara 2 - 0 March 23, 2025
Matsumoto Yamaga Sagamihara 3 - 2 August 17, 2024
Sagamihara Matsumoto Yamaga 3 - 2 June 22, 2024
Sagamihara Matsumoto Yamaga 0 - 2 October 28, 2023
Matsumoto Yamaga Sagamihara 5 - 3 June 3, 2023

Matsumoto Yamaga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Home Ehime FC 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 16, 26 Home Biwako Shiga 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Kochi United 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Ventforet Kofu 3 - 0 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home Nara Club 0 - 2 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Montedio Yamagata 1 - 1 Draw

Sagamihara Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away FC Ryukyu 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Kanazawa 2 - 1 Win
Aug 15, 26 Away Thespakusatsu Gunma 1 - 4 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home Roasso Kumamoto 3 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Home Fujieda MYFC 1 - 1 Draw

J3 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Sagamihara 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
16 Matsumoto Yamaga 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2

Predictions

Matsumoto Yamaga or Sagamihara to win
This prediction indicates that Sagamihara has a 39.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.03 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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J3 League

Biwako Shiga vs Gainare Tottori 5 hours from now · 12:30 p.m. › Kochi United vs Roasso Kumamoto 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Kanazawa vs Ehime FC 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. › Kitakyushu vs Matsumoto Yamaga 5 hours from now · noon › Parceiro Nagano vs Thespakusatsu Gunma 5 hours from now · noon › Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka 6 hours from now · 1 p.m. ›