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League One

Aug. 8, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Meizhou Kejia Dongguan United
Meizhou Kejia W L L W D D
Dongguan United L L L L L D
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Dongguan United Meizhou Kejia 0 - 1 April 5, 2026

Meizhou Kejia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home Dalian Huayi 2 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Shaanxi Union 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Home Changchun Yatai 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away Nantong Zhiyun 1 - 3 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Wuxi Wugou 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Heilongjiang Lava Spring 2 - 2 Draw

Dongguan United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Home Nantong Zhiyun 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 13, 26 Away Ningbo Professional 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 5, 26 Away Nanjing City 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Yanbian Longding 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Shaanxi Union 0 - 5 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Guangxi Hengchen 3 - 3 Draw

League One Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 Meizhou Kejia 14 4 2 8 13 29 -16 14
16 Dongguan United 15 2 4 9 16 29 -13 10

Predictions

Meizhou Kejia to win
This prediction indicates that Meizhou Kejia has a 52.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.90 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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