Melbourne City II vs Avondale Saturday 25th July 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Melbourne City II Avondale

Melbourne City II W W L L W W

Avondale L L L W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Avondale	Melbourne City II	3 - 1	April 18, 2026

Melbourne City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Altona Magic	0 - 3	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	0 - 2	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Oakleigh Cannons	3 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Dandenong City	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Dandenong Thunder	2 - 0	Win
May 15, 26	Away	Green Gully	1 - 3	Win

Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Oakleigh Cannons	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Preston Lions	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Away	Dandenong City	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Dandenong Thunder	11 - 0	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Green Gully	0 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Bentleigh Greens	4 - 0	Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Avondale	19	11	1	7	53	25	+28	34
7	Melbourne City II	18	7	5	6	28	27	+1	26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.09% likelihood that both Melbourne City II and Avondale will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Avondale to win

This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 59.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.75 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Victoria NPL

Melbourne City II vs Heidelberg United an hour from now · 8 a.m. › Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens 3 hours from now · 10 a.m. ›