Primera C
Match Analysis
Mercedes
El Porvenir
Mercedes
W
L
D
D
W
L
El Porvenir
D
L
D
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Porvenir | Mercedes | 1 - 1 | March 21, 2026 |
| Mercedes | El Porvenir | 0 - 0 | June 27, 2025 |
| El Porvenir | Mercedes | 2 - 1 | March 18, 2025 |
| Mercedes | El Porvenir | 1 - 0 | September 11, 2024 |
| El Porvenir | Mercedes | 4 - 0 | April 10, 2024 |
| El Porvenir | Mercedes | 0 - 0 | November 6, 2023 |
Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | JJ Urquiza | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Lugano | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Puerto Nuevo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Leandro N. Alem | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Deportivo Español | 1 - 0 | Loss |
El Porvenir Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Leones de Rosario | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 13, 26 | Home | Atletico Atlas | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Canuelas | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Deportivo Muñiz | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Deportivo Español | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Juventud Unida | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | El Porvenir | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 23 |
| 17 | Mercedes | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 22 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Mercedes will score 0 goals, and El Porvenir will score 0 goals in the football match.Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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