Mercedes vs Estrella Del Sur Saturday 01st August 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mercedes Estrella Del Sur

Mercedes D W W L D D

Estrella Del Sur L W W L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Estrella Del Sur	Mercedes	0 - 0	April 5, 2026

Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Victoriano Arenas	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 6, 26	Away	Centro Español	0 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	JJ Urquiza	5 - 0	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Lugano	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Deportivo Paraguayo	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Puerto Nuevo	1 - 1	Draw

Estrella Del Sur Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Away	Puerto Nuevo	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Leandro N. Alem	3 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Away	Defensores de Cambaceres	0 - 3	Win
Jun 14, 26	Away	Juventud Unida	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Sacachispas	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Argentino Rosario	1 - 1	Draw

Primera C Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Estrella Del Sur	19	7	7	5	21	17	+4	28
12	Mercedes	19	6	8	5	19	11	+8	26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.21% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Mercedes to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Mercedes has a 35.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.12 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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