Primera C
Match Analysis
Mercedes
Lugano
Mercedes
W
D
L
L
W
L
Lugano
D
D
W
D
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | Mercedes | 1 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| Lugano | Mercedes | 0 - 1 | August 17, 2025 |
| Mercedes | Lugano | 1 - 1 | May 2, 2025 |
| Mercedes | Lugano | 2 - 2 | October 26, 2024 |
| Lugano | Mercedes | 0 - 0 | May 27, 2024 |
| Mercedes | Lugano | 2 - 1 | October 9, 2023 |
Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Leandro N. Alem | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 10, 26 | Home | Deportivo Español | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Juventud Unida | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Sacachispas | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Claypole | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Home | Estrella Del Sur | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Leones de Rosario | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Puerto Nuevo | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Berazategui | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Leandro N. Alem | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Lujan | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Primera C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lugano | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 45 |
| 13 | Mercedes | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 23 | +5 | 40 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 60.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Mercedes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Mercedes has a 36.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.42 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Primera C
Estrella Del Sur vs Argentino Rosario
14 hours from now · 9 p.m.
›
Victoriano Arenas vs Juventud Unida
14 hours from now · 9 p.m.
›
Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo
5 hours ago · 1 a.m.
›
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano
14 hours from now · 9 p.m.
›
Central Cordoba vs Claypole
14 hours from now · 9 p.m.
›
Yupanqui vs General Lamadrid
14 hours from now · 9 p.m.
›
Deportivo Español vs Central Ballester
14 hours from now · 9 p.m.
›
Comments