Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo Saturday 26th September 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

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Mercedes

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Puerto Nuevo

Match Analysis

Mercedes Puerto Nuevo

Mercedes D L L W L L

Puerto Nuevo L W L D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Puerto Nuevo	Mercedes	1 - 1	May 30, 2026
Mercedes	Puerto Nuevo	1 - 1	August 24, 2025
Puerto Nuevo	Mercedes	1 - 2	May 11, 2025
Puerto Nuevo	Mercedes	2 - 2	October 20, 2024
Mercedes	Puerto Nuevo	1 - 0	May 21, 2024

Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 10, 26	Home	Deportivo Español	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 4, 26	Home	Defensores de Cambaceres	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Away	Juventud Unida	4 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Home	Sacachispas	2 - 0	Win
Aug 18, 26	Away	Claypole	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Argentino Rosario	2 - 0	Loss

Puerto Nuevo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Home	Lugano	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 30, 26	Away	Leandro N. Alem	0 - 3	Win
Aug 23, 26	Home	Defensores de Cambaceres	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 14, 26	Home	Yupanqui	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 9, 26	Away	Juventud Unida	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 31, 26	Home	Sacachispas	1 - 0	Win

Primera C Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Puerto Nuevo	27	10	11	6	26	24	+2	41
16	Mercedes	27	9	9	9	26	22	+4	36

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Mercedes to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Mercedes has a 39.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.03 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Match Analysis

Head to Head History

Mercedes Form (Last 6 Matches)

Puerto Nuevo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Primera C Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

Mercedes to win or Draw

Under 1.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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