Taça de Portugal
Match Analysis
Merelinense
Atlético Arcos
Merelinense
W
D
W
W
L
W
Atlético Arcos
D
L
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Merelinense Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 23 | Home | Tirsense | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 8, 23 | Away | Vilar de Perdizes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 2, 23 | Home | Monção | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 19, 23 | Home | Pedras Salgadas | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 12, 23 | Away | Amarante | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Mar 5, 23 | Home | Bragança | 3 - 0 | Win |
Atlético Arcos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 25 | Away | Paredes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 5, 25 | Home | Os Limianos | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Mar 29, 25 | Away | Dumiense | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Mar 16, 25 | Away | Brito | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Mar 9, 25 | Home | Tirsense | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Mar 1, 25 | Away | Pevidem | 1 - 3 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Merelinense to win
This prediction indicates that Merelinense has a 54.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.86 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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