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Erovnuli Liga

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Meshakhte Spaeri
Meshakhte L L L L L D
Spaeri D L L L D L
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Spaeri Meshakhte 2 - 1 May 25, 2026
Meshakhte Spaeri 0 - 0 April 7, 2026

Meshakhte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Home Dinamo Batumi 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Away Dila 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home Samgurali 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home FC Urartu 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 23, 26 Away Saburtalo 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 18, 26 Home Gagra 1 - 1 Draw

Spaeri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 17, 26 Away Gagra 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home Dinamo Tbilisi 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 20, 26 Home Samgurali 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Home FC Urartu 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 22, 26 Away Torpedo Kutaisi 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 16, 26 Away Dila 3 - 1 Loss

Erovnuli Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
9 Spaeri 21 5 8 8 27 28 -1 23
10 Meshakhte 21 1 8 12 15 39 -24 11

Predictions

Spaeri to win
This prediction indicates that Spaeri has a 46.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.50 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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