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Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Metz Rodez
Metz D W L W W W
Rodez L W L D W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Metz Rodez 3 - 3 May 2, 2025
Rodez Metz 1 - 3 August 23, 2024
Metz Rodez 1 - 1 January 31, 2023
Rodez Metz 1 - 4 August 30, 2022

Metz Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Grenoble 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Home Guingamp 2 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home FC Kaiserslautern 1 - 3 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Home Fortuna Sittard 3 - 1 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Sochaux 4 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Seraing United 6 - 0 Win

Rodez Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Annecy 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Laval 3 - 1 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Montpellier 4 - 2 Loss
Jul 25, 26 Away Toulouse 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 22, 26 Home Nimes 2 - 1 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Cannes 4 - 1 Win

Ligue 2 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Metz 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
7 Rodez 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that both Metz and Rodez will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Metz to win
This prediction indicates that Metz has a 42.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.33 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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