Mexico vs Colombia Saturday 26th September 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Friendlies

Mexico

Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Colombia

Match Analysis

Mexico Colombia

Mexico L W W W W W

Colombia D W D W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mexico	Colombia	0 - 4	October 12, 2025
Mexico	Colombia	2 - 3	December 17, 2023
Mexico	Colombia	2 - 3	September 28, 2022

Mexico Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 6, 26	Home	England	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 1, 26	Home	Ecuador	2 - 0	Win
Jun 25, 26	Away	Czech Republic	0 - 3	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	South Korea	1 - 0	Win
Jun 11, 26	Home	South Africa	2 - 0	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Serbia	5 - 1	Win

Colombia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Switzerland	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Ghana	1 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Portugal	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 24, 26	Home	Congo DR	1 - 0	Win
Jun 18, 26	Away	Uzbekistan	1 - 3	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Jordan	2 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Colombia to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Colombia has a 35.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.42 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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