Mexico vs Ecuador Wednesday 01st July 2026 04:00 AM football predictions.

Mexico Ecuador

Mexico W W W W W W

Ecuador W D L W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mexico	Ecuador	1 - 1	October 15, 2025
Mexico	Ecuador	0 - 0	July 1, 2024
Mexico	Ecuador	0 - 0	June 5, 2022
Mexico	Ecuador	2 - 3	October 28, 2021
Mexico	Ecuador	3 - 2	June 9, 2019
Mexico	Ecuador	1 - 2	June 19, 2015

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Away	Czech Republic	0 - 3	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	South Korea	1 - 0	Win
Jun 11, 26	Home	South Africa	2 - 0	Win
Jun 5, 26	Home	Serbia	5 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Australia	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Ghana	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Home	Germany	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Curaçao	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Away	Ivory Coast	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 7, 26	Home	Guatemala	3 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Saudi Arabia	2 - 1	Win
Mar 31, 26	Away	Netherlands	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
23	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.16% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Mexico has a 41.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.26 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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