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USL Championship

July 16, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Miami FC Indy Eleven
Miami FC L D L W L D
Indy Eleven L W W W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Indy Eleven Miami FC 3 - 2 August 23, 2025
Miami FC Indy Eleven 1 - 3 March 15, 2025
Indy Eleven Miami FC 4 - 0 September 28, 2024
Miami FC Indy Eleven 1 - 3 May 12, 2024
Indy Eleven Miami FC 1 - 0 September 2, 2023
Miami FC Indy Eleven 0 - 1 August 12, 2023

Miami FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 24, 26 Home Orange County SC 2 - 4 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Away Oakland Roots 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Louisville City 4 - 3 Win
May 21, 26 Away Detroit City 2 - 1 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Birmingham Legion 0 - 0 Draw

Indy Eleven Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Away Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Home Rhode Island 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home Lexington 3 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Sporting JAX 2 - 1 Win
May 2, 26 Away Tampa Bay Rowdies 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 19, 26 Away Birmingham Legion 2 - 2 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Indy Eleven 11 5 3 3 16 12 +4 18
14 Miami FC 14 4 5 5 17 23 -6 17

Predictions

Indy Eleven to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Indy Eleven has a 41.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.63 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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