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Championship
Middlesbrough logo Middlesbrough
Sept. 12, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Norwich logo Norwich

Match Analysis

Middlesbrough Norwich
Middlesbrough W L W W D L
Norwich W L L W D L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Middlesbrough Norwich 1 - 0 January 31, 2026
Norwich Middlesbrough 1 - 2 August 23, 2025
Middlesbrough Norwich 0 - 0 April 26, 2025
Norwich Middlesbrough 3 - 3 October 27, 2024
Middlesbrough Norwich 3 - 1 March 6, 2024
Norwich Middlesbrough 1 - 2 October 24, 2023

Middlesbrough Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Doncaster 1 - 3 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Blackburn 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Lincoln 2 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Wrexham 1 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Espanyol 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Huddersfield 1 - 3 Loss

Norwich Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 25, 26 Away Cardiff 1 - 2 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Millwall 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home West Brom 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Milton Keynes Dons 4 - 1 Win
Aug 4, 26 Home Cambridge United 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Osasuna 1 - 2 Loss

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
24 Norwich 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0

Predictions

Middlesbrough to win
This prediction indicates that Middlesbrough has a 48.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.11 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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