Championship logo

Championship
Derby logo Derby
Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Swansea logo Swansea

Match Analysis

Derby Swansea
Derby L D L W L L
Swansea L W L W L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Derby Swansea 2 - 0 February 14, 2026
Swansea Derby 1 - 2 November 25, 2025
Swansea Derby 1 - 0 April 5, 2025
Derby Swansea 1 - 2 November 27, 2024
Swansea Derby 2 - 1 April 9, 2022
Derby Swansea 0 - 0 October 2, 2021

Derby Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Lincoln 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 4, 26 Away Rotherham 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Burton Albion 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Away Mansfield Town 1 - 3 Win
Jul 28, 26 Home Valencia 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Away SC Freiburg 3 - 1 Loss

Swansea Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Home Birmingham 0 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Leganes 1 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Merthyr Town 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 24, 26 Home Udinese 2 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Home VfL Bochum 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 Draw

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Swansea 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
1 Derby 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Derby to win
This prediction indicates that Derby has a 41.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.62 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.9% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Championship

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham 14 hours from now · 7:30 p.m. › Portsmouth vs QPR 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Norwich vs West Brom 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Charlton vs Derby 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Bristol City vs Millwall 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Bolton vs Preston 9 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Stoke City vs Swansea 12 hours from now · 5 p.m. ›