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Primera Nacional

June 13, 2026 2 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Midland Atlanta
Midland L W L W W W
Atlanta W D W W D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Midland Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Away Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home San Martin Tucuman 2 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Atletico DE Rafaela 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Agropecuario 2 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Tristan Suarez 1 - 3 Win
May 3, 26 Home Club Atlético Güemes 2 - 1 Win

Atlanta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Gimnasia Jujuy 3 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Home Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away San Martin Tucuman 0 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Home Atletico DE Rafaela 2 - 0 Win
May 10, 26 Away Agropecuario 0 - 0 Draw
May 3, 26 Home Tristan Suarez 3 - 1 Win

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Atlanta 16 9 3 4 21 10 +11 30
10 Midland 16 7 4 5 17 11 +6 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.86% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Midland to win
This prediction indicates that Midland has a 46.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.21 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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