Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
Midland
Atletico DE Rafaela
Midland
W
W
L
L
W
L
Atletico DE Rafaela
W
L
L
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico DE Rafaela | Midland | 1 - 0 | May 23, 2026 |
Midland Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 26 | Away | Club Atlético Güemes | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Home | Chacarita Juniors | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | San Martin S.J. | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Colegiales | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Nueva Chicago | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Temperley | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Atletico DE Rafaela Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | San Martin Tucuman | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Jujuy | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Agropecuario | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Tristan Suarez | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Club Atlético Güemes | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Defensores De Belgrano | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 25 | +9 | 47 |
| 15 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 42 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Midland to win
This prediction indicates that Midland has a 51.64% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.85 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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