KNVB Beker
Match Analysis
Mierlo-Hout
Groesbeek
Mierlo-Hout
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Mierlo-Hout with a 43% probability. Despite the teams being closely matched in overall quality and both showing poor recent form, the model leans toward a home win. Additionally, Mierlo-Hout's recent defensive struggles suggest that goals may be scored, reflected in the 53% chance for both teams to score. The model also expects fewer than two goals in total, indicating a tight, possibly low-scoring match.
Mierlo-Hout Form (Last 2 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 25 | Away | 't Zand | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 19 | Home | Flevo Boys | 2 - 3 | Loss |
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