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Aug. 15, 2026 48 minutes ago VS

Match Analysis

Millonarios Barranquilla
Millonarios W W L L L W
Barranquilla D D L L W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Millonarios have been performing moderately in recent matches, while Barranquilla have struggled with poor form. Despite Barranquilla having a rest advantage, there is a clear quality gap favoring Millonarios. The model predicts a home win with a 67% probability, which aligns with the significant quality gap and recent form trends. Additionally, the model sees a slight edge toward 'over' for the over/under 1.5 goals line, but expects fewer goals overall, leaning toward 'under' for over/under 2.5 goals.

Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 5, 26 Home Deportivo Pasto 2 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 26 Away Junior 0 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Colo Colo 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Universitario 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Depor FC 1 - 8 Win

Barranquilla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Home Junior 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Away Junior 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 15, 25 Home Alianza Petrolera 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 25 Away Envigado 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 4, 25 Home Orsomarso 2 - 0 Win
May 31, 25 Away Rionegro Aguilas 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Millonarios to win
This prediction indicates that Millonarios has a 66.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.49 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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