Primera A
Match Analysis
Millonarios
La Equidad
Millonarios
W
W
L
L
L
W
La Equidad
L
W
W
L
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Equidad | Millonarios | 3 - 2 | February 22, 2026 |
| La Equidad | Millonarios | 1 - 0 | July 24, 2025 |
| Millonarios | La Equidad | 2 - 1 | February 9, 2025 |
| La Equidad | Millonarios | 1 - 3 | September 16, 2024 |
| Millonarios | La Equidad | 1 - 2 | March 2, 2024 |
| La Equidad | Millonarios | 2 - 1 | November 9, 2023 |
Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pasto | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Junior | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Bucaramanga | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Colo Colo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Universitario | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Away | Depor FC | 1 - 8 | Win |
La Equidad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Jaguares | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Internacional Palmira | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | America de Cali | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Internacional Palmira | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 12, 26 | Away | Atletico Nacional | 7 - 1 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Millonarios | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 32 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 31 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Millonarios to win
This prediction indicates that Millonarios has a 66.37% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.08 %Most Likely Scorelines
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