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J1 League

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
0 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Mito Hollyhock V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock L L L L L D
V-varen Nagasaki W L D L W L
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
V-varen Nagasaki Mito Hollyhock 1 - 0 May 30, 2026
V-varen Nagasaki Mito Hollyhock 2 - 1 November 23, 2025
Mito Hollyhock V-varen Nagasaki 3 - 0 May 31, 2025
V-varen Nagasaki Mito Hollyhock 1 - 2 August 3, 2024
Mito Hollyhock V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 3 June 2, 2024
Mito Hollyhock V-varen Nagasaki 3 - 3 August 12, 2023

Mito Hollyhock Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Away V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 0 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 3 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Tokyo Verdy 0 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Urawa 1 - 4 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Kashima 3 - 0 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Yokohama F. Marinos 1 - 1 Draw

V-varen Nagasaki Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Mito Hollyhock 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Away Kyoto Sanga 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Vissel Kobe 2 - 2 Draw
May 9, 26 Away Cerezo Osaka 3 - 2 Loss
May 6, 26 Home Fagiano Okayama 2 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Home Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Loss

J1 League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
13 V-varen Nagasaki 19 7 2 10 21 28 -7 23
19 Mito Hollyhock 19 2 8 9 19 36 -17 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.49% likelihood that both Mito Hollyhock and V-varen Nagasaki will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

V-varen Nagasaki to win
This prediction indicates that V-varen Nagasaki has a 45.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.76 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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