Ligue 1
Match Analysis
Monaco
Lens
Monaco
W
W
W
W
L
W
Lens
L
W
L
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | Monaco | 2 - 3 | February 21, 2026 |
| Monaco | Lens | 1 - 4 | November 8, 2025 |
| Lens | Monaco | 4 - 0 | May 17, 2025 |
| Monaco | Lens | 1 - 1 | September 1, 2024 |
| Lens | Monaco | 2 - 3 | February 25, 2024 |
| Lens | Monaco | 2 - 2 | January 7, 2024 |
Monaco Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Marseille | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Gornik Zabrze | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | LE Havre | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Gornik Zabrze | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Coventry | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Liverpool | 2 - 3 | Win |
Lens Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Strasbourg | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Auxerre | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sunderland | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Charleroi | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Boulogne | 4 - 1 | Win |
| May 22, 26 | Home | Nice | 3 - 1 | Win |
Ligue 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 7 | Lens | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.94% likelihood that both Monaco and Lens will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Monaco to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Monaco has a 37.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.45 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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