Ligue 1
Match Analysis
Monaco
Marseille
Monaco
L
W
W
D
L
W
Marseille
L
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | Marseille | 2 - 1 | April 5, 2026 |
| Marseille | Monaco | 1 - 0 | December 14, 2025 |
| Monaco | Marseille | 3 - 0 | April 12, 2025 |
| Marseille | Monaco | 2 - 1 | December 1, 2024 |
| Marseille | Monaco | 2 - 2 | January 27, 2024 |
| Monaco | Marseille | 3 - 2 | September 30, 2023 |
Monaco Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Coventry | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Liverpool | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Getafe | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Cercle Brugge | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Sporting CP | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Saint-Priest | 5 - 2 | Win |
Marseille Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Atletico Madrid | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Nimes | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Nice | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Rennes | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Away | LE Havre | 0 - 1 | Win |
Ligue 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Marseille | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Monaco | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.72% likelihood that both Monaco and Marseille will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Monaco or Marseille to win
This prediction indicates that Monaco has a 42.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.41 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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