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Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Montalegre Ponte da Barca
Montalegre L L D W L D
Ponte da Barca D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ponte da Barca Montalegre 1 - 0 September 4, 2016

Montalegre Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Apr 7, 24 Away Sandinenses 4 - 0 Loss
Mar 29, 24 Home Os Limianos 0 - 1 Loss
Mar 24, 24 Home Vila Real 0 - 0 Draw
Mar 17, 24 Away Ribeirão 0 - 1 Win
Mar 3, 24 Away Tirsense 3 - 0 Loss
Feb 24, 24 Away Pevidem 1 - 1 Draw

Ponte da Barca Form (Last 3 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 8, 19 Away Merelinense 0 - 0 Draw
Sep 25, 16 Away Estarreja 3 - 1 Loss
Sep 4, 16 Home Montalegre 1 - 0 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Montalegre will score 0 goals, and Ponte da Barca will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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