Montrose vs Fraserburgh Tuesday 11th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Montrose Fraserburgh

Montrose L W W W W L

Fraserburgh W L W L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fraserburgh	Montrose	2 - 4	July 12, 2022
Fraserburgh	Montrose	2 - 4	April 3, 2021

Montrose Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Spartans	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Arbroath	0 - 2	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Stirling Albion	0 - 2	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Dundee Utd	1 - 0	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Inverurie Loco Works	7 - 0	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 3	Loss

Fraserburgh Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Aberdeen U21	3 - 1	Win
Oct 25, 25	Away	Banks O' Dee	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 27, 25	Away	Brora Rangers	0 - 1	Win
Jul 21, 25	Home	Hermes	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 5, 25	Home	Peterhead	1 - 0	Win
Jul 1, 25	Away	Elgin City	4 - 1	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.04% likelihood that both Montrose and Fraserburgh will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Montrose to win

This prediction indicates that Montrose has a 48.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.99 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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