Serie A
Match Analysis
Monza
Sassuolo
Monza
W
L
L
W
D
L
Sassuolo
D
W
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | Sassuolo | 2 - 2 | August 3, 2024 |
| Monza | Sassuolo | 1 - 0 | January 28, 2024 |
| Sassuolo | Monza | 0 - 1 | October 2, 2023 |
| Sassuolo | Monza | 1 - 2 | May 19, 2023 |
| Monza | Sassuolo | 1 - 1 | January 22, 2023 |
Monza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Torino | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Udinese | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Inter | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Avellino | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Padova | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Aris Thessalonikis | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Sassuolo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Frosinone | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Torino | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Cesena | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | FC Augsburg | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Celta Vigo | 1 - 4 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sassuolo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Monza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions
Monza to win
This prediction indicates that Monza has a 41.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.43 %Most Likely Scorelines
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