Mosul vs Karbala Monday 24th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Iraqi League

Aug. 24, 2026 1 week, 1 day from now VS

Mosul Karbala

Mosul D W D L D D

Karbala W L L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 15, 26	Away	Al-Karma	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 1, 26	Home	Al-Qasim	3 - 0	Win
May 27, 26	Away	Newroz	1 - 1	Draw
May 20, 26	Away	Al Minaa Basra	1 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Duhok	3 - 3	Draw
May 11, 26	Home	Al Talaba	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 8, 26	Away	Baghdad	0 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 25	Home	Al Hudod	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 27, 25	Home	Naft	2 - 4	Loss
Jun 18, 25	Away	Newroz	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 25	Home	Al-Karma	0 - 2	Loss
May 19, 25	Away	Al Minaa Basra	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Karbala	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Mosul	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.25% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Mosul has a 57.35% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.27 %

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