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Liga Pro

July 12, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC D D L L L W
Independiente del Valle W W L W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Independiente del Valle Mushuc Runa SC 3 - 1 March 7, 2026
Mushuc Runa SC Independiente del Valle 2 - 2 September 20, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 August 20, 2025
Independiente del Valle Mushuc Runa SC 1 - 0 August 13, 2025
Independiente del Valle Mushuc Runa SC 2 - 1 May 23, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC Independiente del Valle 1 - 1 October 5, 2024

Mushuc Runa SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Aucas 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Guayaquil City FC 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Leones del Norte 3 - 1 Loss
May 12, 26 Home LDU de Quito 1 - 3 Loss
May 3, 26 Away Delfin SC 1 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca 4 - 1 Win

Independiente del Valle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Away Guayaquil City FC 2 - 4 Win
May 27, 26 Home Rosario Central 1 - 0 Win
May 23, 26 Home Libertad 2 - 3 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Libertad Asuncion 4 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Macara 0 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home Barcelona SC 1 - 0 Win

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 16 12 1 3 32 18 +14 37
11 Mushuc Runa SC 16 4 6 6 19 21 -2 18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.12% likelihood that both Mushuc Runa SC and Independiente del Valle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Independiente del Valle to win
This prediction indicates that Independiente del Valle has a 54.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.95 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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