Mushuc Runa SC vs Independiente del Valle Sunday 12th July 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC Independiente del Valle

Mushuc Runa SC D D L L L W

Independiente del Valle W W L W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Independiente del Valle	Mushuc Runa SC	3 - 1	March 7, 2026
Mushuc Runa SC	Independiente del Valle	2 - 2	September 20, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC	Independiente del Valle	2 - 1	August 20, 2025
Independiente del Valle	Mushuc Runa SC	1 - 0	August 13, 2025
Independiente del Valle	Mushuc Runa SC	2 - 1	May 23, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC	Independiente del Valle	1 - 1	October 5, 2024

Mushuc Runa SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Aucas	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Guayaquil City FC	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Leones del Norte	3 - 1	Loss
May 12, 26	Home	LDU de Quito	1 - 3	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Delfin SC	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Deportivo Cuenca	4 - 1	Win

Independiente del Valle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Away	Guayaquil City FC	2 - 4	Win
May 27, 26	Home	Rosario Central	1 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Libertad	2 - 3	Loss
May 20, 26	Home	Libertad Asuncion	4 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Macara	0 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	Barcelona SC	1 - 0	Win

Liga Pro Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	16	12	1	3	32	18	+14	37
11	Mushuc Runa SC	16	4	6	6	19	21	-2	18

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.12% likelihood that both Mushuc Runa SC and Independiente del Valle will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Independiente del Valle to win

This prediction indicates that Independiente del Valle has a 54.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.95 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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