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July 20, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
2 – 1
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Match Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC L L W D D L
Orense SC L D L L L W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Orense SC Mushuc Runa SC 3 - 2 March 19, 2026
Orense SC Mushuc Runa SC 3 - 1 September 14, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC Orense SC 2 - 5 May 17, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC Orense SC 2 - 1 March 6, 2025
Mushuc Runa SC Orense SC 3 - 0 September 22, 2024
Orense SC Mushuc Runa SC 2 - 2 April 6, 2024

Mushuc Runa SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 14, 26 Away Macara 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home Independiente del Valle 1 - 4 Loss
Jul 6, 26 Away Universidad Catolica 2 - 3 Win
May 31, 26 Home Aucas 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Guayaquil City FC 2 - 2 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Leones del Norte 3 - 1 Loss

Orense SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Home Emelec 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Manta FC 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 7, 26 Home Tecnico Universitario 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 1, 26 Away LDU de Quito 3 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Universidad Catolica 1 - 2 Loss
May 19, 26 Away Guayaquil City FC 0 - 1 Win

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Orense SC 19 6 5 8 22 26 -4 23
14 Mushuc Runa SC 19 5 6 8 24 29 -5 21

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Mushuc Runa SC to win
This prediction indicates that Mushuc Runa SC has a 46.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.07 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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