MVV vs Helmond Sport Saturday 26th September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
Eerste Divisie logo

Eerste Divisie
MVV logo MVV
Sept. 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Helmond Sport logo Helmond Sport

Match Analysis

MVV Helmond Sport
MVV L D W L W W
Helmond Sport W W L D L D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
MVV Helmond Sport 0 - 0 April 10, 2026
Helmond Sport MVV 2 - 4 December 5, 2025
Helmond Sport MVV 4 - 0 March 7, 2025
MVV Helmond Sport 1 - 2 October 27, 2024
MVV Helmond Sport 3 - 0 April 5, 2024
Helmond Sport MVV 1 - 2 December 8, 2023

MVV Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 11, 26 Home Almere City FC 0 - 4 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Home Roda 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Away Jong AZ 1 - 2 Win
Aug 25, 26 Away KRC Genk II 6 - 0 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home FC Volendam 1 - 0 Win
Aug 14, 26 Away FC Eindhoven 2 - 3 Win

Helmond Sport Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 11, 26 Home Jong PSV 3 - 1 Win
Sep 4, 26 Home VVV Venlo 4 - 2 Win
Aug 28, 26 Away Jong Ajax 3 - 2 Loss
Aug 21, 26 Home Waalwijk 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Away Roda 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Home De Graafschap 1 - 1 Draw

Eerste Divisie Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 MVV 5 4 1 0 9 5 +4 13
14 Helmond Sport 5 1 2 2 9 9 0 5

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.02% likelihood that both MVV and Helmond Sport will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
MVV to win
This prediction indicates that MVV has a 45.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.64 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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