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Meistriliiga

July 3, 2026 3 days, 14 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Nõmme United Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United W L W L L L
Kalju Nomme D D L D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kalju Nomme Nõmme United 7 - 1 April 22, 2026
Kalju Nomme Nõmme United 3 - 0 September 18, 2024
Nõmme United Kalju Nomme 0 - 4 July 19, 2024
Kalju Nomme Nõmme United 1 - 1 May 28, 2024
Nõmme United Kalju Nomme 0 - 0 March 17, 2024

Nõmme United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Laagri 1 - 3 Win
Jun 17, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Away Trans Narva 1 - 2 Win
May 29, 26 Home Flora Tallinn 0 - 4 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Kuressaare 2 - 1 Loss
May 15, 26 Away Tammeka 3 - 1 Loss

Kalju Nomme Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 28, 26 Home Paide 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Home Tammeka 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Paide 1 - 1 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Vaprus 3 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Laagri 1 - 0 Win

Meistriliiga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Kalju Nomme 17 9 3 5 29 14 +15 30
8 Nõmme United 17 6 1 10 33 40 -7 19

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.81% likelihood that both Nõmme United and Kalju Nomme will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Kalju Nomme to win
This prediction indicates that Kalju Nomme has a 60.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.34 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 74.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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