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Primeira Liga
Nacional logo Nacional
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Famalicao logo Famalicao

Match Analysis

Nacional Famalicao
Nacional L L W D L D
Famalicao D L L D W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Famalicao Nacional 1 - 0 March 21, 2026
Nacional Famalicao 0 - 1 November 1, 2025
Nacional Famalicao 2 - 1 March 1, 2025
Famalicao Nacional 0 - 0 September 29, 2024
Famalicao Nacional 3 - 0 May 16, 2021
Nacional Famalicao 2 - 1 January 30, 2021

Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home Estrela 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Away Guimaraes 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Estoril 2 - 0 Win
Aug 10, 26 Away Santa Clara 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Away Estrela 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 22, 26 Home Leganes 0 - 0 Draw

Famalicao Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home GIL Vicente 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 23, 26 Away Santa Clara 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 16, 26 Home Maritimo 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Estoril 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Tondela 1 - 0 Win
Jul 22, 26 Home Arouca 0 - 0 Draw

Primeira Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Nacional 4 1 1 2 6 6 0 4
14 Famalicao 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Famalicao to win
This prediction indicates that Famalicao has a 41.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.48 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Primeira Liga

Maritimo vs Benfica 14 hours from now · 8 p.m. › Sporting CP vs Nacional 17 hours from now · 10:30 p.m. › Estrela vs Famalicao 12 hours from now · 5:30 p.m. › Alverca vs SC Braga 14 hours from now · 8 p.m. ›