Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Match Analysis
Nacka Iliria
Smedby
Nacka Iliria
W
W
D
L
L
L
Smedby
W
D
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smedby | Nacka Iliria | 3 - 1 | April 18, 2026 |
| Smedby | Nacka Iliria | 5 - 0 | October 5, 2024 |
| Nacka Iliria | Smedby | 0 - 1 | June 8, 2024 |
| Smedby | Nacka Iliria | 5 - 0 | October 15, 2023 |
| Nacka Iliria | Smedby | 0 - 1 | June 17, 2023 |
Nacka Iliria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Örebro Syrianska | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Eker Örebro | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Sylvia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | Nyköping | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Eker Örebro | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 14, 26 | Away | Sylvia | 4 - 0 | Loss |
Smedby Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Eker Örebro | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Karlslund | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Örebro Syrianska | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 24, 26 | Away | Sylvia | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Haninge | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Jun 15, 26 | Away | Nyköping | 0 - 1 | Win |
Division 2 - Södra Svealand Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Smedby | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 22 | +11 | 30 |
| 14 | Nacka Iliria | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 11 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.34% likelihood that both Nacka Iliria and Smedby will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Smedby to win
This prediction indicates that Smedby has a 49.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.61 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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