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Aug. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Nafta Maribor
Nafta D W W L L L
Maribor W D W D D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Maribor Nafta 0 - 1 May 25, 2025
Nafta Maribor 1 - 1 April 16, 2025
Maribor Nafta 4 - 0 December 8, 2024
Nafta Maribor 0 - 3 September 22, 2024
Nafta Maribor 0 - 3 January 16, 2024

Nafta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Away Aluminij 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Home Mura 5 - 2 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Bravo 0 - 3 Win
Jul 17, 26 Home Koper 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Home FK Partizan 1 - 4 Loss
Jul 4, 26 Home Budapest Honved 0 - 3 Loss

Maribor Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 9, 26 Home Koper 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Away Celje 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Brinje-Grosuplje 3 - 0 Win
Jul 19, 26 Away Aluminij 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Home Charlton 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Home Železničar Pančevo 1 - 1 Draw

1. SNL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Maribor 4 2 2 0 6 1 +5 8
2 Nafta 4 2 1 1 9 5 +4 7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.89% likelihood that both Nafta and Maribor will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Maribor to win
This prediction indicates that Maribor has a 49.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.61 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.64% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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