Naftagas vs Metalac GM Saturday 05th September 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Prva Liga

Sept. 5, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Naftagas Metalac GM

Naftagas L L L D W

Metalac GM D L L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 19, 26	Away	Borac Cacak	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	Dinamo Jug	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	OFK Vršac	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Loznica	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Away	Macva	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 19, 26	Home	Semendrija 1924	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 14, 26	Away	Napredak	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Home	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	2 - 4	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Jedinstvo Ub	0 - 1	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	Javor	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 15, 26	Away	Grafičar	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Metalac GM	3	1	0	2	4	6	-2	3
14	Naftagas	3	0	1	2	2	4	-2	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.8% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Naftagas has a 43.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.19 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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