Nantong Zhiyun vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring Saturday 01st August 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Nantong Zhiyun Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Nantong Zhiyun W D L W D D

Heilongjiang Lava Spring D L D L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Heilongjiang Lava Spring	Nantong Zhiyun	1 - 1	March 21, 2026
Heilongjiang Lava Spring	Nantong Zhiyun	1 - 1	October 12, 2025
Nantong Zhiyun	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	1 - 1	June 1, 2025
Heilongjiang Lava Spring	Nantong Zhiyun	0 - 3	June 24, 2023
Nantong Zhiyun	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	0 - 2	December 3, 2022
Heilongjiang Lava Spring	Nantong Zhiyun	0 - 3	November 9, 2022

Nantong Zhiyun Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Dongguan United	1 - 2	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Shenzhen Juniors	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Meizhou Kejia	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Yanbian Longding	2 - 0	Win
May 29, 26	Away	Ningbo Professional	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Guangxi Hengchen	0 - 0	Draw

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Away	Shenzhen Juniors	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Yanbian Longding	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Wuxi Wugou	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Guangzhou E-Power	1 - 3	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Meizhou Kejia	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Dongguan United	1 - 1	Draw

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Nantong Zhiyun	13	6	5	2	12	9	+3	23
11	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	14	3	8	3	21	24	-3	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Nantong Zhiyun to win

This prediction indicates that Nantong Zhiyun has a 46.87% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.68 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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