Netherlands vs Japan Sunday 14th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Netherlands Japan

Netherlands W L D W W D

Japan W W W W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Netherlands	Japan	1 - 0	June 19, 2010

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 8, 26	Home	Uzbekistan	2 - 1	Win
Jun 3, 26	Home	Algeria	0 - 1	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Home	Ecuador	1 - 1	Draw
Mar 27, 26	Home	Norway	2 - 1	Win
Nov 17, 25	Home	Lithuania	4 - 0	Win
Nov 14, 25	Away	Poland	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	Iceland	1 - 0	Win
Mar 31, 26	Away	England	0 - 1	Win
Mar 28, 26	Away	Scotland	0 - 1	Win
Nov 18, 25	Home	Bolivia	3 - 0	Win
Nov 14, 25	Home	Ghana	2 - 0	Win
Oct 14, 25	Home	Brazil	3 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Japan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Netherlands	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Netherlands has a 56.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.08 %

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