Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
New York City FC
Philadelphia Union
New York City FC
D
W
W
L
D
W
Philadelphia Union
W
W
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | 1 - 2 | March 1, 2026 |
| Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | 0 - 1 | November 24, 2025 |
| Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | 1 - 0 | October 4, 2025 |
| New York City FC | Philadelphia Union | 1 - 0 | April 12, 2025 |
| New York City FC | Philadelphia Union | 1 - 5 | September 18, 2024 |
| Philadelphia Union | New York City FC | 1 - 2 | May 15, 2024 |
New York City FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Toronto FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Chicago Fire | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Columbus Crew | 1 - 2 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Nashville SC | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Away | New York Red Bulls | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Charlotte | 0 - 1 | Win |
Philadelphia Union Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Atlanta United FC | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | New York Red Bulls | 3 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Inter Miami | 6 - 4 | Loss |
| May 16, 26 | Home | Columbus Crew | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 13, 26 | Away | Orlando City SC | 4 - 3 | Loss |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | New York City FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 24 | +7 | 26 |
| 27 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 16 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.98% likelihood that both New York City FC and Philadelphia Union will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.New York City FC to win
This prediction indicates that New York City FC has a 47.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.41 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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