New York City II vs Orlando City II Wednesday 12th August 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

New York City II Orlando City II

New York City II L L W W D W

Orlando City II L D W D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Orlando City II	New York City II	1 - 4	August 3, 2025
New York City II	Orlando City II	5 - 2	August 28, 2024
Orlando City II	New York City II	3 - 2	August 18, 2024
New York City II	Orlando City II	3 - 4	August 13, 2023
Orlando City II	New York City II	2 - 2	April 23, 2023
New York City II	Orlando City II	0 - 2	August 13, 2022

New York City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Atlanta United II	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Away	New England II	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Crown Legacy	0 - 3	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Connecticut FC	1 - 4	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Chattanooga	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Home	Carolina Core	3 - 2	Win

Orlando City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Huntsville City	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Chattanooga	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Away	FC Cincinnati II	1 - 2	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Crown Legacy	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 28, 26	Home	Columbus Crew II	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	Bethlehem Steel	1 - 2	Loss

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Orlando City II	20	8	7	5	40	34	+6	31
16	New York City II	18	8	3	7	29	29	0	27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.6% likelihood that both New York City II and Orlando City II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

New York City II or Orlando City II to win

This prediction indicates that New York City II has a 42.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.57 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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